Here is a sum up of predictions from various agencies for Uttar Pradesh Assembly Election 2017.
|Poll of Polls||56||217||122||8|
It is totally a blew effect of BJP in UP according to Exit Polls. Every Agency marked BJP as a winning party who is getting Majority. Now, the final question is that will BJP earn the full Majority and stablize their government in UP or Which alliance will form in UP.
According to Chankaya, BJP will get about 285 assembly seats. Whereas, C-Voter assuring around 161 Assembly Seats for BJP. Exit Polls declared by all agencies on 9th Mar 2017 by 5:30 PM. After that, politicians reponse was a absolute factor on the exit poll output. Rahul Gandhi said that just wait for saturday and will be clear everything. we have seen this type of exit polls at a time of Bihar Assembly Elections 2015.
Couting of votes for all 5 States will be happened on 11th Mar (Saturday) and will start by 8:00 AM.
Last Vidhan Sabha (2012) and Lok Sabha (2014) Exit Polls
UP Assembly Election 2012 Results
UP Assembly Election 2007 Results
After the date declaration of Elections by Election Commission in Uttar Pradesh, Opinion Polls by majority of pollsters is taking place with many assumption of clear majority for BJP In Uttar Pradesh. However, It seems to be a tough fight between all parties and with multiple competitors. Alliance between any parties are not still officially declared. Lets have a look on all opinion polls and survery conducted by different Authorities.
Below opinion poll has predicted that BJP would win the elections in Uttar Pradesh . The SP- Congress alliance would emerge as the largest group in the state assembly elections in UP but would fall short of the simple majority, according to the latest survey.Note: India Today-Axis survey was conducted between the period of Jan 13-25 on 25268 voters.
|India Today-Axis Opinion Poll|
Released Date (31st Jan)
Released Date (31st Jan)
|ABP News-Lokniti |
Released Date (30th Jan)
Latest opinion poll released by VDPAssociates on 29th Jan 2017, According to UP Opinion Poll 2017 BJP set to win Uttar Pradesh after 15 years projected to win 207 seats with vote share of 35%
|Party||Seat forcast||Vote Share|
51 per cent of participants in the Jagran online poll have voted BJP as the party which would emerge victorious in the UP assembly elections 2017 with over 50 % votes, SP is at the second spot with nearly 25 per cent of voters in the online survey claiming that it would return to power. BSP, voted by 13 per cent of the participants is at the 3rd spot, whereas, Congress is trailing in last position with the votes of 11 per cent survey participants. The figures could vary as it is an ongoing survey, which is running by Jagran.
Survey by VDPAssociates showing the BJP strom is on the way in Uttar Pradesh. In their latest release of Opinion Poll, They declared BJP is getting majority in UP with 165 assembly seats inclusion of 33% vote shares. Behind the BJP, SP is chasing with 149 seats includes 31%. BSP is only getting 76 assembly seats with 23% vote shares. As similar all opinion polls, congress in out of competition and getting 4 seats.
|Party||Seats Projection||Vote Sharing|
In the latest survey conducted by ABP News - Lokniti - CSDS for Upcoming Assembly Elections in Uttar Pradesh, Samajwadi Party is getting majority in the competition. But, a close fight is observed between BJP & SP as BJP is just 10-12 seats behind from SP. SP is getting 141-151 seats whereas, 129-139 assembly seats is covered by BJP. BSP is on third in the race with 93-103 assembly seats. The bad situation for Congress who is only getting 13-19 seats.
The latest opinion poll released by Axis-My-India for the India Today Group on the day the Election Commission announced the schedule of elections in five states, shows BJP to sweep UP and Congress will just manage single digits. This Opinion Poll has a sample size of 8480. The survey was conducted between 12-24 December 2016.
|Party||Seat Share||Vote Share|
UP Assembly elections are due early next year and all the major political party have already begun their preparations get victory in India's largest state. Indiatrendingnow conducted a survey among 8000 respondents to get an estimate of the voters' mood. The survey was conducted on Oct 15 to 25 Oct 2016 in 403 vidhan sabah seats of the state. According to the survey results, the BJP is going to highest vote percentage, SP and BSP may secured 23% and 27% vote share. Congress may satisfied with only 5% vote.
The Hindi Khabar Opinion Poll has predicted that Mayawati's Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) may win 175-185 seats in 403 member state Assembly, BJP is poised to bag 104 to 116 seats, Congress may win 8-10 seats and while the incumbent Samajwadi Party will 82 and 106 seats. The survey was done between October 2 to Oct 16.
The India Today-Axis Opinion Poll; BJP (170 to 183) Set to Score Big in UP and it will not be enough to make government in the state. Any party must secure 202 seats out of 403-member in Uttar Pradesh Assembly. Mayawati's Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) may win 115-124 seats. while the incumbent Samajwadi Party is likely get 94 to 103 seats and sit in third opposition.
|Party||Seat Survey||Vote Share|
VDPAssociates on 1st Oct to judge the momentum of votes for upcoming Uttar Pradesh Elections. As per the survey, BJP is winning the race and moving to win 190 seats out of 403. This is clear that BJP on top in survey list with marking 31% of Seats Sharing. Runner Party is SP which is getting 111 Seats with 27% shares votes. Mayawati Leading BSP is just behind SP and getting 24% shares votes with win on 87 Seats. Sonia Gandhi & Rahul Gandhi Leading Congress will is no longer in race because congress will get win only on 5 seats with 5% vote shares.
|Party Name||No. of Seats||% Sharing|
The "Mood of UP Survey" conducted by a monthly magazine 'Parliamentarian' says that that the ruling Samajwadi Party seem to be losing heavily. According to magazine, the survey had a sample size 25,000 people which was carried out last month in western, eastern, Avadh and Bundelkhand regions.
|Party||Seat forecast in 2016|
According to a C-Voter survey conducted in Uttar Pradesh between 1st Aug to 31st Aug 2016 via a Random Stratified Sample of 20642 respondents interviewed across all 403 Assembly Segments; it has been found that "if the assembly elections were held today".
Poll was Released on 2nd Sept 2016
|Party Name||2012 Seat||Seat &|
Vote Share Projection 2016
|Party Name||Seats||Votes Share|
|Who is first choice as Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister?|
|Keshav Prasad Maurya||6%|
|Who would form government in UP?|
There is some forecast also done by agencies. One the major agency i.e. VDPAssociates is forecasted about the Uttar Pradesh Elections 2017 results as per current Time era.
|Party||Actual Seat & |
(vote %) in 2012
|Forecast Seats & |
(Vote %) as per Opinion Poll
|BJP+||47 (15%)||149 (28.5%)|
|BSP||80 (25.9%)||165 (29.8%)|
|INC||28 (11.6%)||68 (22%)|
|SP||224 (29.1%)||8 (8.1%)|
|Party||Actual Seat & |
(vote%) in 2012
|Forecast Seats & |
(Vote%) per Opinion Poll Mar 2016
|BJP||42 (15.3%)||120 (24%)|
|BSP||80 (24.8%)||185 (31%)|
|INC||29 (11.5%)||13 (11%)|
|SP||228 (30.1%)||80 (23%)|
|IND and Others||15 (15%)||5 (11%)|
As per opinion poll result by ABP News, BSP is the party getting stay up into the table with the huge big margin increment of seats as compare to Uttar Pradesh 2012 elections. BJP is the second party who are getting seats increment at this Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections.Region-wise Break-up
With the region-wise break up, it’s clear that BSP is getting most of the seats from Purvanchal. Even, BJP is also getting most of the seats.
|Party||Avadh Pradesh||Bundelkhand||Paschim Pradesh||Purvanchal||Total|
|IND and Others||0||0||2||3||5|
Uttarakhand Opinion Poll 2017Last Updated on 09th Mar 2017
Goa Opinion Poll 2017
Punjab Opinion Poll 2017
Manipur Opinion Poll 2017
Gujarat Opinion Poll 2017